Blogs from Michael_Novakhov (21 sites): The FBI News Review: “gregg jarrett” – Google News: Did political bias taint the Mueller probe from the beginning? – Yahoo News

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July 01, 2019
“gregg jarrett” – Google News: Did political bias taint the Mueller probe from the beginning? – Yahoo News
“mueller” – Google News: Matt Gaetz: Mueller hearing will reveal ‘oceans of bias,’ but no collusion – Fox News
“mueller” – Google News: Greg Mueller and Tyler Bonkowski Make Deep WSOP Runs on Canada Day – PokerNews.com
William Barr’s old GOP predecessor paints an ominous portrait of what lies ahead – Greenwich Time

“gregg jarrett” – Google News: Did political bias taint the Mueller probe from the beginning? – Yahoo News

FBI from Michael_Novakhov (28 sites)
Did political bias taint the Mueller probe from the beginning? Yahoo NewsMueller to testify in front of House committee; reaction and analysis from ‘The Russia Hoax’ author Gregg Jarrett and Reps.
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“mueller” – Google News: Matt Gaetz: Mueller hearing will reveal ‘oceans of bias,’ but no collusion – Fox News

FBI from Michael_Novakhov (28 sites)
Matt Gaetz on Mueller hearing Former Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s upcoming hearing on Capitol Hill will reveal multiple instances of bias but no collusion between President Trump and Russia, according to Rep.
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“mueller” – Google News: Greg Mueller and Tyler Bonkowski Make Deep WSOP Runs on Canada Day – PokerNews.com

FBI from Michael_Novakhov (28 sites)
Greg Mueller and Tyler Bonkowski Make Deep WSOP Runs on Canada Day Monday marked Canada’s 152nd birthday. There is a ton of action going on at the Rio in Las Vegas, and the field is full of players wearing red and white to commemorate the day.
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William Barr’s old GOP predecessor paints an ominous portrait of what lies ahead – Greenwich Time

Greenwich Time
William Barr’s old GOP predecessor paints an ominous portrait of what lies ahead Aaron Blake, The Washington Post Published 4:26 pm EDT, Monday, July 1, 2019 When William Barr was nominated as attorney general, Never Trump Republicans and even some Democrats were strangely mollified.
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The FBI News Review

Blogs from Michael_Novakhov (21 sites)


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The Global Security News: 1. Trump from Michael_Novakhov (197 sites): Palmer Report: House Republicans tip off that they’re scared to death of what Robert Mueller is about to do to Donald Trump

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Special Counsel Robert Mueller swung and missed when it came to prosecutorially taking down Donald Trump – or perhaps failed to swing – but he still has one thing left to do. Mueller has been subpoenaed by House Democrats to publicly testify this month about Trump’s crimes and scandals. House Republicans are naturally unhappy about this, but today they revealed just how scared they are of how it’s going to play out.



Louie Gohmert, one of the less stable and more hyperbolic of the far-right House Republicans, went nuclear on Robert Mueller today. Gohmert insisted that Mueller has done “irreparable damage” – though he couldn’t seem to specify any such supposed damage – and he also called Mueller an “anal opening.” We assume that’s Gohmert’s way of calling him an “asshole.”




Why does this matter? After all, Louie Gohmert has been firmly off his rocker since long before Robert Mueller’s investigation came along. The thing is, Gohmert – the demonically possessed spirit animal for the House GOP – just gave away what his fellow House Republicans are afraid of.


The only card House Republicans have to play during Robert Mueller’s testimony is to try to hit him with Donald Trump’s deranged conspiracy theories about Peter Strzok and Lisa Page, and they know that nonsense won’t go anywhere outside of Trump’s own base. The Republicans are going to look bad – very bad – during this hearing. Their pal Trump is going to look even worse. Real damage will be done to Trump and his faction of the GOP. Gohmert just gave away that they know it already.



The post House Republicans tip off that they’re scared to death of what Robert Mueller is about to do to Donald Trump appeared first on Palmer Report.

Palmer Report

1. Trump from Michael_Novakhov (197 sites)

The Global Security News


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The Global Security News: 1. World from Michael_Novakhov (24 sites): FOX News: WATCH: Tucker Carlson goes behind the scenes of Trump-Kim meeting at DMZ

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Fox News’ “Tucker Carlson Tonight” got an exclusive view over the weekend of President Trump’s historic meeting with North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un.

FOX News

1. World from Michael_Novakhov (24 sites)

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The Global Security News: 1. US Security from Michael_Novakhov (88 sites): Eurasia Review: China’s Risks Rise With Threats To Gulf Oil – Analysis

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By Michael Lelyveld

Rising risks to shipping in the Persian Gulf have renewed questions
about China’s strategic stockpile of oil and its dependence on energy
flows from the Middle East.

As the world’s largest oil importer, China would be vulnerable to a
shutdown of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, the vital waterway
that carries about one-fifth of the world’s liquid petroleum supplies.

The potential impact is part of growing concern in China over energy
security with the rise in dependence on imported crude oil to roughly 70
percent from 50 percent in 2008.

“Needless to say, the dependency rate is quite high, but in my
opinion, it may still be a conservative calculation,” said Lin Boqiang,
dean of Xiamen University’s China Institute for Studies in Energy
Policy.

“More importantly, the government should be aware that such high oil
dependency is actually a very unsafe form of risk,” Lin told the
Communist Party of China (CPC)-affiliated Global Times in an interview published on March 29.

After years of decline, China’s domestic oil production is expected
to keep lagging behind demand growth, raising import reliance.

In separate studies last year, the Paris-based International Energy
Agency (IEA) estimated that import dependence will reach 76 percent in
2024 and 82 percent in 2040.

China now gets about 4.5 million barrels per day (mbpd) from the Gulf
out of the 10 mbpd of crude that it imports, making a potential closure
a “serious oil supply risk to China’s economy,” said Mikkal Herberg,
energy security research director for the Seattle-based National Bureau
of Asian Research (NBR).

Major oil suppliers like Saudi Arabia have some options for exporting
in case the strait is blocked, but how much would get through to China
remains to be seen.

“My guess is that China would still receive some of such constrained
Saudi and other Gulf supplies because they are such an important
customer,” Herberg said.

But he warned that “things quickly get complicated when you start thinking of different scenarios for a Gulf supply disruption.”

Herberg believes the main threat to China from a strait shutdown
would be economic, since importers would be forced to compete for
limited oil supplies at prices of U.S. $100 (687 yuan) per barrel or
more.

A loss of 10 mbpd in Middle East oil supplies due to a Gulf
disruption could lower the global economy by 9 percent and cut China’s
economy by 6 percent, he said, citing an estimate in October by the
Institute of Energy Economics, Japan (IEEJ).

Line of defense

China’s line of defense against a cutoff is its Strategic Petroleum
Reserve (SPR), a controversial version of the stockpiles maintained in
IEA member countries in case of serious disruptions to supplies.

Unlike the emergency inventories held by IEA members, China’s SPR
program, first announced in 2004, has remained shrouded in secrecy, in
part for competitive reasons and concerns about driving up prices.
Official reports on the volume held in storage have been infrequent and
out of date.

In January 2018, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) reported
that China’s “national crude oil reserves” at nine strategic storage
bases and “some corporate facilities” stood at 37.73 million metric tons
(276.5 million barrels) as of the end of June 2017.

The last known SPR update was followed by sporadic reports from the
official Xinhua news agency on commercial crude oil stocks, but those
have since stopped.

By contrast, the U.S. Department of Energy provides regular data on
SPR inventory changes. On June 21, the SPR held 644.8 million barrels of
crude, enough to last for years at the low average daily import rates
reported for the first quarter.

In May, an analyst at S&P Global Platts news service, writing in the Daily Telegraph,
estimated China’s SPR inventory at almost 300 million barrels, the
equivalent of about 30 days of imports. The IEA standard for its members
is a minimum of 90 days.

Over the years, China has rarely disclosed when it is filling its
storage, leaving international oil markets in the dark. It has also
never ruled out using its SPR to influence oil prices, instead of
tapping it only in a coordinated response to supply emergencies, as
required by the IEA.

The lack of transparency has forced energy analysts to make educated
guesses of China’s reserve levels based on available evidence.

A recent Platts report on monthly changes in China’s implied crude
oil stocks included data from satellites, which can detect the fill
level of oil storage tanks.

Although the line between China’s SPR and its commercial stocks may
be blurred, Xiamen University’s Lin Boqiang cited an estimate that China
has 40 to 50 days’ worth of “oil use” in storage.

Lin urged continued stockpiling to reach import coverage of 90 days.
China’s SPR plans originally called for 100 days of coverage by 2020.

Mikkal Herberg suggested that the current SPR level could cover as
much as 65 to 70 days of imports, since Gulf supplies are unlikely to be
cut off entirely while exports from other producers would continue as
before.

But the higher estimates may be academic, since the impact on China would depend on how long the blockage of the strait drags on.

‘An obvious solution’

Edward Chow, senior associate for energy and national security at the
Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, agrees
that China can be expected to continue building up its SPR to meet the
90-day standard.

“Clearly, this takes time and the urgency increases whenever there is
turmoil in the Persian Gulf, as there is today,” said Chow.

China’s rising risk could persuade it to upgrade its cooperation with
the IEA. Beijing has been participating under an association agreement
with the agency since 2015.

“An obvious solution is to enter into a more formal agreement with
IEA members on strategic stock and burden-sharing at a time of supply
crisis,” said Chow.

“In theory, China can lease strategic stock capacity from other
countries, if it were part of an international agreement on its use,
while continuing to build strategic stock levels inside China,” Chow
said.

But the solution would require China “to give up some degree of
independent sovereign action in this area, which China is understood to
be reluctant to do, and one of the reasons why it is not a member of the
IEA,” he said.

Over a decade ago, China’s secrecy over buying for its SPR was seen
as a “wild card” in the oil market that frustrated analysts’ efforts to
estimate supply and demand.

China’s buying for storage was frequently blamed for helping to drive
up oil prices during the years before the world economic crisis in
2008.

The costs of creating and filling China’s SPR are also opaque. The
burden is believed to have fallen mainly on China’s national oil
companies (NOCs), making them resistant to buying when prices are high.

But the rapid growth of China’s import dependence and SPR
requirements have appeared to be the result of high-level inattention
and policy neglect by the government.

“In the short term, there’s not much China can do to reduce its
risk,” Herberg said. “There are no that many options to expand to other
suppliers.”

“Beijing would actually have better results by attacking the demand side of their oil import equation,” Herberg said.

Options could include a greater push for electric vehicles, improved
energy efficiency, driving limitations and rationing, he said.

Eurasia Review

1. US Security from Michael_Novakhov (88 sites)

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The Global Security News: 1. World from Michael_Novakhov (24 sites): Reuters: World News: Costa Rica education minister resigns under Evangelical fire for LGBTQ policy

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Costa Rica’s education minister Edgar Mora resigned on Monday following protests against policies including his support for gender-neutral bathrooms, in a sign the cultural issues that dominated last year’s presidential election remain divisive.

Reuters: World News

1. World from Michael_Novakhov (24 sites)

The Global Security News


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1. New York and Brooklyn from Michael_Novakhov (111 sites): Twitter Search / BklynEagle: The brick-and-timber warehouse, constructed in the 1880s, has played a vital role in the industrial history of the Gowanus Canal. http://ow.ly/qEtO50uRcGS

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The brick-and-timber warehouse, constructed in the 1880s, has played a vital role in the industrial history of the Gowanus Canal. http://ow.ly/qEtO50uRcGS 

Twitter Search / BklynEagle

1. New York and Brooklyn from Michael_Novakhov (111 sites)


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